A study by London, England’s Imperial College, released in mid-March, stated that without significant measures COVID-19 plague could potentially kill 2.2 million people in the US and 500,000 people in Britain.
These apocalyptic predictions were result of computer modeling predictions led by Neil Ferguson, who some consider the pre-eminent epidemiologist in the world.
Based on these projections, countries around the world implemented Draconian measures that resulted in millions of people losing their jobs.
But then the week following, there was a significant downgrade to Ferguson’s predictions. According to the website New Scientist, at a presentation this week before a parliamentary committee in London, England, Ferguson provided a small update to those numbers.
Ten days after predicting 500,000 deaths, Ferguson stated that only 20,000 people would die in Britain and according to New Scientist, the number of deaths “could be much lower.” During his presentation Ferguson apparently added that because of underlying conditions and older age, over half of those would probably have died this year anyway.
This new estimate compares to the approximate 29,000 people who die each year in Britain from the flu.
Though this COVID-19 death prediction was a worst case scenario, recent efforts by the government have helped reduce the spread of the disease.
But others wonder if the reduction is also due in part to more people having COVID-19 than previously thought (many of whom are showing no or minimal symptoms) and this in turn makes the death rate percentage much lower.
Oxford University epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta believes the Imperial College study is highly flawed. Based on their estimates, Guta and his team suspect COVID-19 has been spreading through Britain since early January and estimate that over half of Britains have already been infected.
However, most people ended up with minimal to moderate symptoms and did not require medical help. If their projections are right, this means 34 million people have already had COVID-19. This also reveals that the death rates for COVID-19 are significantly lower than those initially projected by the Imperial College study.
Gupta’s team, along with researchers from Cambridge and University of Kent, will be testing people to find out how many have COVID-19 antibodies, which indicates that they had the virus, but recovered.
“I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model.”Sunetra Gupta, Oxford University, Daily Wire
- RELATED: CCP Virus May Have Infected Half of UK Population: Oxford Study: Epoch Times
Though, Ferguson did not provide an update for the US, a similar reduction would reduce the death toll from 2.2 million to 88,000. The US Center for Disease Control estimated 80,000 people died from the flu in 2018.
So far approximately 1,200 people have died from the COVID-19 in the US.
Commenting on Ferguson’s massive downgrade, the coordinator of the US Coronavirus task force, Dr. Deborah Birx, said that Ferguson’s original computer models were not matching “the reality on the ground in either China, South Korea or Italy” WND reported.
WND reports that former New York Times reporter, Alex Berenson wondered why the US media hadn’t picked up on Ferguson’s revised numbers Tweeting:
“Not surprisingly, this testimony has received no attention in the US — I found it only in the UK papers. Team Apocalypse is not interested.”Alex Berenson, Former New York Times reporter, WND
As I have mentioned in previous posts, a prophetic word given by Shawn Bolz at the end of February suggested that panic associated with the COVID-19 plague was exaggerated. In his prophecy, he specifically cited the mainline media:
“The exaggerated fear based tactics of both the enemy and several media outlets for political reasons is coming to an end. The enemy has been trying to distract and steal from several equally important purposes and issues by dominating airwaves with conspiracy and fear.”Shawn Bolz Prophecy, Charisma News
- Scientist behind U.S., U.K. lockdowns drastically lowers death estimate: WND.com
- Scientist behind ‘gold standard’ model that predicted 500K deaths in UK (and 2 million in US) admits he was off, now says there will be 20K or fewer in the UK: The Blaze
- COVID-19: Imperial researchers model likely impact of public health measures: Imperial College
- UK has enough intensive care units for coronavirus, expert predicts: New Scientist
- Oxford Epidemiologist: Here’s Why That Doomsday Model Is Likely Way Off: Daily Wire