In 2007 — during his Nobel Peace Prize acceptance speech — Al Gore predicted the ice cap of the Northern arctic would disappear because of man-made global warming. He even went one step further and said the ice would be gone in seven years — by 2014.
Ice free according to Gore meant an ice bed of less than 1 million sq kilometers, which means there would be just a fringe of ice along the coast lines.
However, in an ironic twist, for a second year in a row the Arctic ice bed has increased in size, not shrunk. This despite record amounts of CO2 being passed into the atmosphere each year, which Gore says is causing the ice melt.
The freeze over started in 2012 and in 2013, it caught a number of sailing vessels off guard. They were expecting to sail through the northern Arctic passage way unhindered, but instead were caught in ice forcing them to abandon their ships.
According to an article in the Daily Mail, since 2012, the Arctic ice bed has increased between 43% to 63%. These numbers were based on two satellite surveys of the arctic ice mass. Though they vary in terms of amount, the two surveys agreed on one thing — there has been a dramatic increase in the size of the Polar ice cap.
- The NASA-funded US National Snow and Ice Data Center calculated that as of August 25, 2014, the Arctic ice bed was 5.62 million square kilometers in size. This was the highest it has been since 2006 and showed a 1.71 million square kilometres size increase (43%) since 2012.
- The Danish Meteorological Institute which has similarly studied the Arctic ice bed says the increase was much larger. It says there has been as 63% increase. According to its calculations, the ice bed sits at 4.4 million square kilometers up from 2.7 million square kilometers just two years ago.
Leeds University’s Andrew Shepherd says perhaps the most significant event is that the ice bed is also thickening making it more resistant to melt. In a statement made August 29, 2014, Shepherd said:
‘It is clear from the measurements we have collected that the Arctic sea ice has experienced a significant recovery in thickness over the past year.
‘It seems that an unusually cool summer in 2013 allowed more ice to survive through to last winter. This means that the Arctic sea ice pack is thicker and stronger than usual, and this should be taken into account when making predictions of its future extent.’
This contrasts with Al Gore’s 2007 Nobel Prize acceptance speech prediction, when he said:
“The [arctic] ice cap is falling off a cliff, it could be completely gone in summer in as little as 7 years from now.”
In 2000, man-made global warming scientist Dr. David Viner made a similar prediction. He said there would be no snow and that kids would have no idea what it was. He was also wrong.
University of Illinois’s Cryosphere comparison
Are you interested in checking out the Arctic polar ice cap increase for yourself? Then try out the University of Illinois’s Cryosphere project. It has tracked the polar ice cap size via satellite since 1979. It allows you to compare the Polar ice cap size between two dates. The image at the beginning of this article is derived using this tool.
Click here to do your own comparison.
- Myth of arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker and covers 1.7 million square kilometres more than 2 years ago…despite Al Gore’s prediction it would be ICE-FREE by now: Daily Mail