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Two-thirds must catch COVID-19 to end pandemic: Study


Is the lock down succeeding? Not really. According to a report by the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, in order to stop the pandemic at least two-thirds (60% to 70%) of the population must catch the virus and develop what is called herd immunity. This can happen by catching the virus or getting a vaccine and who knows when a vaccine will be available.

According to reports, at least 80% of the people who come down with the coronavirus have minimal to no symptoms. Nearly 50% have no symptoms and those with minimal symptoms are confusing it with such things as allergies.

Those who are extremely vulnerable to the virus, such as the elderly and those with underlying health conditions, must be isolated and protected.

But the full lock down is preventing the rest of us from getting the disease and because of this, when the lock down ends (and it must end), the pandemic could continue on for another two years according to this report as the rest of us catch it. This is what they are referring to as the “second wave.”

READ: Coronavirus pandemic won’t be controlled until two-thirds of the population has immunity: experts

But saner countries, such as Sweden, bucked the media/social media hysteria, and took a different approach. It did not enforce a lock down. People were told to be careful, but businesses and schools remained open.

Yes, there was a spike in cases and deaths in Sweden, which of course the mainstream media rabidly pointed too. But it is going to be over in that country in the next few weeks because there will be no one left to infect. In fact, Sweden is starting to notice drops in new coronavirus cases in the main cities and are now waiting for the virus to make its run through the rural areas. READ: Sweden resisted a lockdown, and its capital Stockholm is expected to reach ‘herd immunity’ in weeks

But even with no lock down, Sweden is running about mid pack in terms of cases and deaths — see comparative chart below (as of April 21, 2020) or click here for a higher resolution, interactive image.

Johns Hopkins University as of April 21, 2020 Click here for higher resolution image

So let’s review:

  1. Sweden did not destroy its economy.
  2. Its pandemic is no better or worse than those with complete lock downs.
  3. And, Sweden is not expecting the dreaded “second wave.”

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