Apologetics, Global Warming, Main, z115
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Man-made error in man-made global warming study, oceans are not 60% warmer


Oceans are not 60% warmer than previously thought. Photo of Jamaica coast Credit: Ethan Crowley/Flickr/Creative Commons

Oceans are not 60% warmer than previously thought. Photo of Jamaica coast Credit: Ethan Crowley/Flickr/Creative Commons

On October 31, 2018, a report released in the prestigious peer-reviewed science journal Nature, broadcast that man-made global warming was much more serious than generally believed, because between 1991 and 2016, the oceans absorbed 60% more heat than previously thought. They concluded from this that the earth must also be warming faster.

The report produced by the Scripps Institution of Oceanography was front page news in major dailies and online news around the world.

In an interview with the Washington Post, Princeton professor Laure Resplandy, who led the study, stated:

“We thought that we got away with not a lot of warming in both the ocean and the atmosphere for the amount of CO2 that we emitted. But we were wrong. The planet warmed more than we thought. It was hidden from us just because we didn’t sample it right. But it was there. It was in the ocean already.”

It was giddy times for those promoting the man-made global warming mantra calling for carbon taxes and cuts in CO2 emissions.

But the celebration only lasted two weeks. That is how long it took for another independent researcher, Nic Lewis, to find a major error in the report resulting in retractions by Nature, the Washington Post and other publications.

How bad was the mistake?

Well according to Lewis, he noticed the problem on the first page of the report:

“The findings of the Resplandy et al paper were peer reviewed and published in the world’s premier scientific journal and were given wide coverage in the English-speaking media. Despite this, a quick review of the first page of the paper was sufficient to raise doubts as to the accuracy of its results.”

Lewis goes on to suggest even if the researchers had been right about the oceans absorbing more heat, their calculations of its impact was also over-estimated.

Now I am not even going to pretend to understand the math here, but I presume Lewis is right simply by the retractions taking place over the study.

Of course this is not the first time those promoting man-made global warming have been wrong:

  • In 2000, Dr. David Viner predicted because of man-made global warming children wouldn’t even know what snow was. He was part of the research unit behind the UN’s climate change push.
  • In 2007, Al Gore, the high priest of man-made global warming, said that Arctic ice bed would be gone by 2014.  In 2014, the US National Snow and Ice Data Center stated that the Arctic ice bed was 5.62 million square kilometers in size and had increased in size 43% since 2012. Yes, you read that right, the ice pack got larger, despite record amounts of CO2 pouring into the atmosphere.

To their credit, the authors of the study, Nature and the Washington Post published retractions. However, I suspect that many of those in the man-made global warming camp will be broadcasting the wrong conclusions of this study as facts for years to come.

Even Lewis is not all that hopeful stating:

“Because of the wide dissemination of the paper’s results, it is extremely important that these errors are acknowledged by the authors without delay and then corrected.

Of course, it is also very important that the media outlets that unquestioningly trumpeted the paper’s findings now correct the record too.

But perhaps that is too much to hope for.”

There has been warming, but the issue is how much and what is the cause: man, nature or a bit of both? And is the warming as bad as it is being portrayed? Because the issue has been so politicized, it is difficult to discover the truth.

Sources:

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